The December Rout
BLOOMBERG, DECEMBER 26, 2018, 10:23 AM
INVESTORS SCRAMBLE TO PULL CASH OUT OF MUTUAL FUNDS
Investors withdrew $56.2 billion from mutual funds during the week that ended Dec. 19, according to data from the Investment Company Institute. The mutual fund market hasn’t experienced a one-week outflow so large since October 2008.
REMEMBER THESE HEADLINES DURING THE “DECEMBER ROUT?”
We’re always preaching patience and long-term investing but we’re also well aware that scary headlines such as the ones above make it difficult to remain in the market when “experts” are warning that the world is coming to an end. So, I decided to track the daily headlines post-“Rout” to see how helpful the daily news might be for investors. I believe you’ll find the almost daily flip-flopping enlightening and it will persuade you to ignore the financial pornography and remain a patient long-term investor. Be sure to note the flip-flop between the red and green boxes, particularly the heavy ones.
Obviously I didn’t know where the market was going when I started this, but I haven’t been surprised that the media coverage followed the classic pattern below.
The moral is, next time you think you should make your investments decisions based on financial pornography and “breaking news,” reread the history below since the beginning of the “December Rout” and think twice before you bail out.
Investment success is based on time IN the market, NOT market timing!
FINALLY, AFTER READING THIS I THOUGHT YOU MIGHT ENJOY A BIT OF CREDIBLE OPTIMISM FROM WARREN BUFFETT
Buffett: Stocks are ‘virtually certain’ to rise in years ahead
‘Miraculous’ U.S. economy remains the engine, says Berkshire chief. He’s not worried.
Warren Buffett assured Berkshire Hathaway investors that they’re likely to continue seeing “substantial” investment gains, aided by what he describes as the long-running U.S. economic miracle.
“Our expectation is that investment gains will continue to be substantial—though totally random as to timing—and that these will supply significant funds for business purchases,” Buffett said in his annual letter to Berkshire
Naysayers may make money by pushing “gloomy” forecasts, he said, but “heaven help them if they act on the nonsense they peddle.”
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buffett-stocks-are-virtually-certain-to-rise-in-years-ahead-2017-02-25
If you made it this far, I hope you found it useful and this history lesson provides some comfort as we struggle (once again) through volatile markets. Just remember, patience pays and we’re here for you if you’d like to chat further.
Sincerely,
Harold Evensky
Chairman
Evensky & Katz / Foldes Financial Wealth Management
Categories
Recent Insights
-
Choosing the Right Retirement Plan for Your Business: A Guide for Sole Proprietors
As a sole proprietor, planning for your retirement is a crucial step in securing your financial future. You’re in control of your business, but you also need to be smart about how you save for the long term. The good news is that there are several retirement plan options available, each with unique benefits. Some…
-
Retire, Redesign, or Recharge: How to Know It’s Time for a Career Shift
Retirement Planning Goes Beyond the Numbers Choosing to leave a career is as much an emotional decision as a financial one. In fact, I would argue the financial side is the easiest to determine – it is completely objective. You either have enough in savings and income to meet your future financial goals or you…
-
The Psychology of Money for Kids: How Couples Can Teach Financial Literacy Together
Why Teaching Kids About Money Starts Early Children begin forming beliefs about money far earlier than many parents realize. By the time they’re in kindergarten, many kids already show emotional reactions to saving, spending, and sharing. These early money behaviors aren’t just shaped by conversations—they’re based on what kids see, hear, and feel in their…
-
Talk Your Chart | Dollar Down. Energy Up. What’s Next? | Episode 70
In Episode 70 of Talk Your Chart, Marcos and Brett break down China’s energy dominance, the frozen U.S. housing market, a softening job landscape, and what the falling dollar means for investors. Plus, they discuss market concentration and why it might be time to look beyond the biggest names in the S&P 500. Charts available…
-
Executive Order Could Bring Alternative Investments to 401(k) Plans: What You Need to Know
For millions of Americans, 401(k) accounts are the cornerstone of retirement savings. A new proposal from the White House could expand what you can invest in—and potentially reshape your long-term strategy. This new Executive Order could eventually change the types of investments available inside your 401(k) or other employer retirement plan. While nothing is changing…